Friday, November 5, 2010

Interesting Election Results

If find it interesting that I can't find a site on the Internet -- yet -- that simply lists all the races, all the votes and all the percentages. I had to hunt through a few dozen sites to get that information, which is intriguing by itself.

Okay, so the Republicans now have a majority of seats in the House and a knife's-edge balance in the Senate. Has anybody looked further? Did anyone noticed that a politically-naive newcomer, Rand Paul, won the seat in Kentucky? Note that Alaska is still counting votes because, if you please, the majority of votes went to a write-in candidate. When was the last time that happened? Rhode Island elected itself a governor on the Independent ticket, which is a real anomaly too.

More to the point, if you look at the returns and percentages in every race, in all but two of them the Rep/Dem votes do not add up to 100%. Some 1-9% of the voters did not stay home, but bothered to go to the polls and vote for anyone but a Republican or Democrat. Does this suggest something?

What I see building up here, like a slow volcano, is a growing distrust of both the Big Two political parties -- in fact, a distrust of political parties in general. After the Reps/Dems, the candidates who got the largest number of votes were those who listed themselves as Independent. If this trend continues, and I think it will, it'll mean a really radical change for American politics. Among other things, it means that spending millions on election advertising will no longer guarantee victory, and that right there will be an enormous change. It also means that the Old Boy network within political parties will go out the window.

Most of all, this means that the electorate is no longer sleeping -- and trusting. Any politicians with the sense to see what this means should be afraid, very afraid.

--Leslie <;)))>< )O(


Mark Horning said...

1) has all the races and the percentages. They do not have the actual vote counts.

2) Rand Paul won 56% to 44%. I'm calling it the Randslide.

3) Alaska is DIFFERENT . My friends in Alaska say that everyone hates Lisa Murkowski, but they really hatted the idea that the republican candidate was supported by "outside" money. (i.e. they think of themselves as Alaskans first and don't like interference from the lower 48) To answer your question, the last time a write-in won was 60 years ago.

4) Several races in AZ (CD-7 CD-8) the Democrat won with a few thousand votes. In both cases the Libertarian running got more votes than the difference.

Aya Katz said...

Now let's see some legislation getting repealed!

Godel Fishbreath said...

The tea party did make a difference, got some of its own elected. It also got some nominal Republicans to run as Independents, thus blurring that line.

Instead of repealing any legislation, the current mix is a forecast of stalling, backbiting, vote selling, and negotiated compromise. Little that anyone would like will get done.

Godel Fishbreath said...

The current political mix will be more stalemate, vote buying, pork, and negociations than progress that anyone would want.

The TP did get some people elected. Some formally 100% republicans ran as independents, and that blurs the line, the real and the GOP independents are both there.

Leslie Fish said...

Hmmm, so Republicans felt they had to run as Independents to get elected? Now that's significant!

--Leslie <;)))><

Ori Pomerantz said...

I think this cartoon sums it up.

Very few things are more likely to focus the attention of the voters than the economy. Of course, the government is not capable of fixing it - but they can at least get out of the way.

Unknown said...

This is why 2012 scares me so badly. People with power try to keep it, sometimes past the point of no return.
My solution? Go work for the Libertarian Party.

Anonymous said...

One big problem is that the laws in many places are written specifically to exclude third parties---they have to jump through endless hoops to get on the ballot, while the Rs and Ds are automatically on. Some Libertarians prefer winning as Republicans to losing as Libertarians.

KateGladstone said...

In that Alaska election, one of the reasons being given for rejecting thousands of the write-ins was that a lot of the writers-in used cursive for one or more letters in the name they were writing in. (Other rejection-reasons included misspellings of the name written in).
Curious ...

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